Our Week Nine NFL Projections was a mixed bag of successes and failures for StatsGuru, so let’s examine our results before moving on to Week Ten.
JETS 26 @ BILLS 17
This game was dominated by defense and saw just two offensive touchdowns, one from Jets RB Thomas Jones and one from the Bills TE, Derek Fine. Derek Who? That was a theme all weekend across the NFL as unheralded players erupted in several games. This wasn’t the aerial show we had predicted and other than Jones, no offensive stars produced in this game.
LIONS 23 @ BEARS 27
Then there was ONE! The ONE is the Lions who are now the NFL’s lone winless team through nine weeks. They had a chance in this one but let it slip away. The Bears lost QB Kyle Orton to a high ankle sprain in this game but he did manage 107 passing yards and a rushing TD before he left the game. As predicted RB Matt Forte got back on track in this one and WR Rashied Davis had another strong game. As forecasted, the lone bright spot for the Lions was WR Calvin Johnson. Stats Sleeper was a prediction that Daunte Culpepper would be signing with the Lions and he has. Depending on what kind of shape he is in and the health of his knee, this could be a big boost for the Lions. We know it’s basketball but did you notice that the Pistons traded for Allen Iverson this week? Look for LeBron James to be a Piston and Iverson to be a Cavalier in 2010.
JAGUARS 19 @ BENGALS 21
The Lions are the lone winless team in the NFL because the Bengals put a whipping on the Jaguars. Don’t let the final score fool you; the Jags were horrible in this one. The Bengals almost let it slip away late but hung on for a very deserving win. We don’t have any trust in any of the Bengals but they did produce this week. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw two touchdowns to WR Chad Johnson and RB Cedric Benson had a big day with 109 total yards and 1 TD. Before you consider starting these guys, remember that they are on their bye in Week 10 and have a brutal schedule the rest of the way. The Jaguars were horrible in this one on both sides of the ball. They faced the leagues 28th ranked run defense and attempted just 21 rushes. That makes them 1-5 when they pass more than they run. Brutal! It wasn’t the monster day we predicted for RB Maurice Jones-Drew but he did have 62 total yards and 1 TD. QB David Garrard had a horrible day and soon to be suspended WR Matt Jones had just 69 yards receiving. After this outing you have to be leery about starting any Jaguar, other than Drew-Jones, the rest of the way.
RAVENS 37 @ BROWNS 27
Who saw 64 points coming out of this game? No one. Apart from suggesting that you keep an eye on RB Ray Rice, who went off in this game with 174 total yards, we missed on this one entirely. Fantasy Football can be cruel can’t it? QB Joe Flacco turned into Joe Montana and Derrick Mason turned into Jerry Rice. Flacco had 248 pass yards with two touchdowns while Mason had nine catches for 136 yards and 1 TD. If you started either of them, good for you! QB Derek Anderson and WR Braylon Edwards both had a good day for the Browns. All that said, if you are trusting your Fantasy season to the offense of the Browns and Ravens, you are still in trouble down the road. Stats Sleeper TE Kellen Winslow had a modest five-catch 64-yard day.
BUCCANEERS 30 @ CHIEFS 27 (OT)
We said this one would be close and it certainly was as the Bucs escaped Arrowhead in an overtime win against the Chiefs. It wasn’t pretty for the Bucs but they’ll take it! Earnest Graham had a disappointing day as he totaled just 91 yards and lost two fumbles. QB Jeff Garcia got the offense rolling late and totaled 339 pass yards with 115 of them, and his touchdown, going to WR Antonio Bryant. Bryant continues to frustrate his Fantasy owners as he has three games with over 100 receiving yards and 58 or less in his other five games. The Bucs DF/ST had a disappointing day and gave up their first rushing TD of the season to RB Kolby Smith who was then lost for the season with a knee injury. The Chiefs totaled 185 rushing yards in this one and deserved a better fate. Stats Sleeper Bucs WR Joey Galloway was a bust with just one catch for 22 yards.
TEXANS 21 @ VIKINGS 28
This one followed the script we forecasted almost to the letter Other than QB Matt Schaub, who was lost to a knee injury, WR Andre Johnson and TE Owen Daniels both had a good day. Rookie RB Steve Slaton struggled in this one with just 62 rushing yards but had another 56 receiving yards. The Vikings were able to run on the Texans defense and RB Adrian Peterson had 139 yards and 1 TD. WR Bernard Berrian stayed hot as forecasted with 104 yards and 1 TD on just two catches. Stats Sleeper WR Bobby Wade was a bust as the Vikings only attempted 18 passes.
CARDINALS (4-3) @ RAMS (2-5)
We thought this would be a high scoring game and Cardinals held up their end by scoring 34 points. As fore casted QB Kurt Warner had a big day with 342 yards and two touchdowns. WR Anquan Boldin had another solid game with 85 yards and 1 TD. WR Larry Fitzgerald had a six-catch 81-yard day. After a hot start to the game, the Rams went ice cold and were shutout in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. QB Marc Bulger had a decent day but didn’t post the kind of numbers we expected. RB Steven Jackson was definitely not 100% and was a bust in this one with just seven touches for 17 yards. Stats Sleeper rookie RB Tim Hightower had a monster day with 109 rushing yards and 1 TD.
PACKERS 16 @ TITANS 19 (OT)
As suggested, the Titans needed a strong running game in this one and they got it. RB’s Chris Johnson and LenDale White totaled 166 yards and 1 TD. As predicted, no one else from the Titans produced any stats lines including their DF/ST. We suggested the Packers would need to pass and they did. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers went to the air 41 times for 314 yards 1 TD and 1 INT. WR Greg Jennings had a quiet day with three catches for 79 yards as WR Donald Driver did most of the damage with a 136 yard 1 TD day. RB Ryan Grant struggled with just 86 yards on 20 carries. Stats Sleeper, TE Donald Lee, was a bust with just three catches for 22 yards.
DOLPHINS 26 @ BRONCOS 17
We said these two teams are headed in opposite directions and this was certainly the case on Sunday. Dolphins QB Chad Pennington had a modest, 281-pass yard 1 INT day. RB Ronnie Brown was held in check for most of the day but did finish with 89 total yards and 1 TD. As suggested, WR Greg Camario had a big day with seven catches for 111 yards but TE Anthony Fasano was a bust with just two catches for 37 yards. The Broncos were frustrated all day by the Dolphins and attempted just 12 rushing plays to 41 pass plays. If your league is interception friendly, QB jay Cutler had a good day with 307 pass yard and 2 TD’s but he also threw 3 INT’s. As suggested, WR Eddie Royal had a good day with 7 catches for 69 yards and 1 TD. WR Brandon Marshall was a bust after registering just two catches for 27 yards. Little known Denver RB Peyton Hills was the surprise of the game with seven catches for 116 yards and 1 TD. No one saw that coming and it will be interesting to see if it happens again down the road. Stats Sleeper Denver rookie RB Ryan Torain had three carries for just one yard but is still worth keeping an eye on moving forward.
COWBOYS 14 @ GIANTS 35
We suggested this would get ugly for QB Brad Johnson and the Cowboys very quickly and it certainly did. As predicted this was a big bounce back game for Giants RB Brandon Jacobs who had 117 rushing yards and 1 TD. Giants RB Derrick Ward chipped in with 89 total yards and 1 TD. QB Eli Manning threw for three touchdowns and, as predicted, TE Kevin Boss and Stats Sleeper WR Steve Smith both had a TD. WR Plaxico Burress had a surprisingly quiet day though. As suggested, the Cowboys struggled and were horrible in this one. Hopefully you followed our recommendation and benched your Cowboys. Things will get better for all of them once QB Tony Romo returns following their Week 10 bye.
FALCONS 24 @ RAIDERS 0
We thought the Raiders may pose a problem for the Falcons in the “Black Hole” but, while we were wrong, we were also right. We were wrong in suggesting they might have a tough time winning, but we were right on the stat day for the Falcons. RB Michael Turner got his yards (139) in this one but it wasn’t monster day most (except us) were expecting out of him as he failed to score a TD. QB Matt Ryan had a serviceable day with 220 pass yards and two touchdowns but, as predicted, WR Roddy White was held in check by shutdown corner Nnamdi Asomugha and totaled just 54 yards without a score. The Raiders were awful with just 77 yards of offense and we apologize for recommending RB Justin Fargas and Stats Sleeper WR Chaz Schilens.
EAGLES 26 @ SEAHAWKS 7
The Eagles allowed the Seahawks a first possession score and then shut them out the rest of the way. In fact, the Seahawks managed to get into Eagles territory just twice after their first possession and one of those was in garbage time late in the forth quarter. QB Donavan McNabb had the solid game we predicted passing for 349 yards and two touchdowns with 1 INT. RB Brian Westbrook was a bit disappointing with just 96 total yards and WR DeSean Jackson was a bust with just two catches for 20 yards. This was another game that featured a no name coming to the forefront as TE Brent Celek had 131 yards on six catches filling in for L.J. Smith. As suggested, the Seahawks reverted to their woeful ways with just 233 total yards with 90 of them coming on a TD catch by Koren Robinson on their first possession.
PATRIOTS 15 @ COLTS 18
Despite 643 total yards this was a very ugly game for both teams. The Patriots tried to dink and dunk the Colts all day but Colts defense held firm and allowed just 1 TD to RB Benjarvus Green-Ellis while RB Kevin Faulk had 98 total yards. QB Matt Cassel, WR’s Randy Moss and Wes Welker all had very mediocre games. As predicted, Colts QB Peyton Manning took advantage of the battered Patriots secondary with 254 yards and two touchdowns. With Reggie Wayne hurting we expected a big day from WR Anthony Gonzalez and he responded 55 yards and two touchdowns. Wayne and WR Marvin Harrison both had a modest day and TE Dallas Clark caught 4 balls for 63 yards. As suggested, the Colts running game struggled as Addai looked rusty and the Colts ran just 21 rushing plays.
STEELERS 23 @ REDSKINS 6
We forecasted problems for everyone from the Redskins in this one and that was certainly the case. The Steelers forced QB Jason Campbell to throw his first two INT’s of the season and cruised to an easy victory. RB Willie Parker returned and had a decent game with 70 rush yards and 1 TD. QB Big Ben left the game in the second quarter, as his ailing shoulder didn’t hold up. Backup QB Byron Leftwich lead the Steelers on two impressive second half scoring drives. The Steelers held the leagues leading rusher, RB Clinton Portis, to just 51 rush yards but he had a strong receiving game with seven catches for 73. As forecasted TE Chris Cooley lead all receivers with eight catches for 78 yards but was held out of the end zone. As suggested, Santana Moss had a dismal game with two receptions for 14 yards.
That’s a wrap for Week Nine!
The playoffs are looming closer in many leagues and it’s getting down to crunch time. Let’s have a look at what to expect in Week Ten.
BRONCOS (4-4) @ BROWNS (3-5)
The Dolphins embarrassed the Broncos while the Ravens came from behind to beat the Browns in Week Nine.
The Browns make the move to QB Brady Quinn for the first Thursday night game of the year. We aren’t sure if this move is the brightest ever but we’ll see. It’s a big stage that Quinn is being thrown on to with a national audience taking in this one. (provided they have the NFL Network). We would have made the change a couple weeks back but we warned this was coming. It’s impossible to know how Quinn will react under the gun so we are going to reserve judgment of him and the Browns receiving core. One thing is fairly certain though, the Broncos will get huge doses of RB Jamal Lewis in this game and stopping him will be a problem. We expect Lewis to one of the top producing running backs this weekend.
The Broncos are a mess and going on the road with a short week of rest certainly won’t help. The Browns have not been good at stopping the run but the Broncos have been decimated by injury at RB. Ryan Torain is expected to start for the Broncos but we think you need to wait a week or so before penciling him as a starter. RB Selvin Young is expected to play in this game as well but is still not 100% healthy. The Browns are decent against the pass and the pass is all the Broncos have at this point. Expect a decent game from QB Jay Cutler and a bounce back game from WR Brandon Marshall. Don’t expect a repeat performance from FB Peyton Hills but it will be interesting to see how many looks and touches he gets in this one.
Stats Sleeper
The Broncos are expecting TE Tony Scheffler back for this game and he should get a lot of looks from Cutler and is in line for a productive game.
SAINTS (4-4) @ FALCONS (5-3)
The Saints were on their bye while the Falcons shut out the Raiders in Week Nine.
Expect fireworks in this one as both teams have a ton of weapons on offense and neither of them is very good on defense. Don’t let last week’s shutout of the Raiders and the Falcons allowing 77 net yards fool you, the Saints are not the Raiders. This is a huge game for both these teams as they try to keep pace with the 6-2 Panthers in the NFC South.
The Saints rank 25th against the pass and 18th against the run. The Falcons will want to control the clock and keep the Saints high-powered offense off the field. Look for heavy doses of RB Michael Turner early in this one. Once the score starts climbing the Falcons will have to match the Saints so feel comfortable in starting QB Matt Ryan and look for WR Roddy White to bounce back in this game. Despite his 2 TD game last week, WR Marty Jenkins continues to be a hit or miss prospect. We expect him to be a miss this weekend, as the Saints don’t have a shut down corner to control White.
The Falcons rank 16th against the pass and 22nd against the run. The Saints will pound the line with RB Deuce McAllister early in this one to soften up the linebackers and then bombs away for QB Drew Brees and Co. McAllister and Brees are both good starts in this one. We also expect this will be the week WR Marques Colston returns to his marquee status as an elite NFL wide receiver.
Stats Sleeper
TE BIlly Miller has been playing behind Fantasy Super Bust Jeremy Shockey the past couple of weeks but has been out-producing him. Look for another solid week out of the bruising and fearless TE.
TITANS (8-0) @ BEARS (5-3)
The Titans beat Green Bay in overtime while the Bears struggled but came from behind to beat the Lions in Week Nine.
This is a battle of division leaders and the first real road test for the Titans this season. Don’t expect a lot of points on the scoreboard or Fantasy wise from this game. The Bears strength is protecting against the run their #5 ranked run defense will challenge the heart of the Titans offense. The Titans will continue to pound the ball on the ground with RB’s LeDale White and Chris Johnson but both should see only moderate success. With the running game bottled up the Titans will be forced to the air. That’s not a necessary bad thing this week as the Bears rank 30th against the pass and are giving up 247 yards a game. The Bears are healthy in the secondary in recent weeks but this is still a good spot for Titans TE Boo Scaife. If you are stuck for a starting QB or WR this weekend, you can expect decent numbers out of QB Kerry Collins and WR Justin McCareins.
The Bears lost QB Kyle Orton to a high ankle sprain on Sunday and now turn back to Rex Grossman, as Orton should be out four at least four weeks. Grossman lead the Bears comeback against the Lions, but this is the Titans and we are hesitant to recommend him in this one. The Bears best chance in this game comes from their defense and pounding the ball on the ground with RB Matt Forte. That will be easier said than done however and we suggest you tempter your expectations of Forte. The Titans will bring huge pressure on Grossman so look for him to try to dump the ball off to Forte and TE Desmond Clark. WR Rashied Davis continues to be very active for the Bears and is a good low end WR2 this weekend.
Stats Sleeper
After a hot start to the season, injuries have turned WR Justin Gage ice cold. He is worth a flier this weekend however against the Bears pass defense.
JAGUARS (3-5) @ LIONS (0-8)
The Jaguars lost to the Bengals while the Lions let one slip away against the Bears in Week Nine.
Could this be the week the Lions finally break their winless streak? If the recent play of the Jaguars is any indication, it just may be. The Jaguars have looked horrible in back to back loses and the Lions continue to fight without anything to show for it.
We sound like a broken record every time we discuss the Jaguars but they have to run the ball if they expect to have success. We know it, you know, why don’t THEY know it? Last week they faced a Bengals team ranked 28th against the rush and failed to take advantage of it. The Lions rank 31st against the run and give up an average of over 161 rushing yards a game. Do you think the Jags will be able to figure it out? We suggest they will and expect a monster game out of RB Maurice Jone-Drew in this one. We expected it last week and didn’t get it but we’ll go back to the well one more time. The Lions are equally inept against the pass, with a 29th ranking, but we expect the Jags to pull back some on QB David Garrard. That being said, Garrard will be a serviceable QB2 this weekend. The NFL still hasn’t ruled on the suspension appeal by WR Matt Jones and, if he plays, he is a great start here. The NFL usually makes suspension and appeal results known on Wednesdays so expect Jones to play against the Lions. The Jaguars are hoping to get some value out of their $30 million man, WR Jerry Porter. It’s now or never for Porter and he’s worth a flier this weekend. TE Marcedes Lewis is worth a start in this one if you are short at the TE position.
As mentioned, the Lions continue to battle but have nothing to show for their efforts thus far. QB Dan Orlovsky is expected to be inactive this weekend with a thumb injury so enter new Lions QB Daunte Culpepper. As a life long Lions Fan StatsGuru welcomes the addition of Culpepper and we bet WR Calvin Johnson does as well. Culpepper has shown that he still has a canon for and arm in these weeks’ practices and has received more practice reps than QB Drew Stanton who will back him up on Sunday. If you are desperate for a QB this weekend take a flier on Daunte as the Lions need to entertain the hometown faithful and the Jags defense has given up 14 TD passes. WR Johnson continues to be a must-start. It looks like the Rudi Johnson experiment is coming to an end in Detroit and RB Kevin Smith will be returning to the starting and featured back role this weekend. Rudi just doesn’t have much left in the tank and can’t get it going with the Lions weak offensive line. The Jags rank 20th against the rush so consider Smith a decent RB2 this weekend.
Stats Sleeper
WR Mike Walker is back at full practice this week. Before he missed time with a knee injury and then an infection issue, Walker put up decent back-to-back games. The Jags are looking for anything that can jump-start their struggling offense so keep an eye on Walker.
RAVENS (5-3) @ TEXANS (3-5)
The Ravens beat the Browns while the Texans had their modest three-game winning streak snapped by the Vikings in Week Nine.
The Ravens continue to be one of the most surprising teams this season and they have even started to become Fantasy relevant from positions other than their defense. They now own the second longest current winning streak in the NFL with three wins in a row. In those three wins, they have racked up 93 points. QB Joe Flacco has been very solid and has scored five touchdowns with no interceptions over the last three weeks. You can certainly do worse at the QB position this weekend as the Ravens face a Texans pass defense that has given up 12 TD passes. Ravens RB Willis McGahee has started to lose touches to RB Ray Rice in huge numbers. With RB LeRon McClain in the mix it’s a guessing game as to who will be the most productive of the three. The Texans are weak against the run and we expect a big week out Rice while McGahee and McClain will both get touches but will post much more modest numbers. Highly underrated, reception machine, Ravens WR Derrick Mason had a huge game last week and has developed a good connection with his rookie QB. Mason is a good high-end WR2 this weekend. TE Todd Heap continues to be nothing more than a blocking TE for the Ravens and should not be started in any format.
The Texans turn back to QB Sage Rosenfel as QB Matt Schaub is out for at least four weeks with a torn MCL. The Texans don’t change things any with Rosenfel at QB and, if anything, they throw even more. The Ravens rank 4th in pass defense but have given up 10 TD passes so look for Rosenfels to have a decent, though not spectacular, game in this one. This is especially true if your league is INT friendly because the Ravens have 10 INT’s on the season and should add at least a couple more to that total this weekend. The Ravens are still the top ranked run defense in the league so we caution against starting rookie RB Steve Slaton in this one. He will get his touches and his pass receiving skills make him a somewhat viable option but we just don’t see anything more than 85 total yards out of him in this game. WR Andre Johnson and TE Owen Daniels continue to be must-starts from the Texans,
SEAHAWKS (2-6) @ DOLPHINS (4-4)
The Eagles pounded the Seahawks while the Dolphins beat the Broncos in Denver in Week Nine.
Take whatever value you have in your house, your vehicle and your bank account and drop it down on the Dolphins this weekend. The Seahawks are a mess and now have to do the West to East shuffle and no team has managed a win in that scenario yet this season. The Seahawks certainly don’t have the talent to change that. If, for some strange reason, you own a Seahawk do yourself a favor and make sure he is not in your lineup.
The Dolphins are trying for their third win in a row for the first time since 2006 and they will get it here. The Seahawks are a woeful bunch on defense and rank 21st against the rush and 31st against the pass. QB Chad Pennington will have another serviceable game here. RB Ronnie Brown stepped up last week after a couple of down weeks and we expect even better numbers from him in this one. The WR flavor of the day for the Dolphins is, as always, anyone’s guess but we think it will be back to Ted Ginn Jr. for the Dolphins this weekend. TE Anthony Fasano continues to play a key support role for the Dolphins and is a serviceable TE2 this weekend.
Stats Sleeper
RB Ricky Williams has seen his role steadily decrease in recent weeks but makes a good flex start this week, as he should produce in garbage time for the Dolphins.
PACKERS (4-4) @ VIKINGS (4-4)
The Packers lost to the Titans in OT while the Vikings beat the Texans in Week Nine.
This one is another huge interdivisional game this weekend as both of these teams try to keep pace with the Bears and are one game back. The Bears face the Titans and a loss by them moves one of these teams into a tie for the division lead. The other drops two games back and is in trouble.
The Vikings ran 35 rushing plays to just 18 passing plays last weekend against the Texans. Expect more of the same this weekend as the Packers rank 27th against the rush but are a solid 5th against the pass. QB Gus Freotte had just 11 completions last weekend but three of them went for touchdowns. Expect more modest numbers from the veteran this weekend. RB Adrian Peterson has come on strong with 260 rush yards and 3 TD’s in his last two games. He hasn’t produced what was expected of him this season but is always a must-start. WR Bernard Berrian has been red hot with TD catches in his last four games. You have to start him but we suggest that you temper your expectations as the Vikings should run all day that will limit his chances. TE Visanthe Shiancoe has had a TD in back to back games and is starting to emerge as a solid, high end TE2. Start him if your TE options are limited.
BILS (5-3) @ PATRIOTS (5-3)
The Bills lost to the Jets while the Patriots lost to the Colts in Week Nine.
This is another key divisional match up on a weekend full of them. The Bills looked they were going to run away with AFC East early on but now they are sinking like sunset after loses in three of their last four games. It’s time for the Bills to get back to basics and pound the ball with RB Marshawn Lynch both on the ground and through the air. Lynch was suffering from the flu last weekend and that is part of the reason for his limited touches but is back to 100% for this one. Expect at least 25 touches from the bruising back and a nice game from him this weekend. QB Trent Edwards has been up and down over the past four games and his turnovers have been costly for the Bills. It doesn’t help that he has had various injuries during that time but he has not handled the defensive pressure thrown his way very well. Expect the Bills to pull back on him somewhat but he does face a vulnerable Pats secondary so expect a decent start from him this weekend. WR Lee Evans had his worst game of the year against the Jets in Week 9 but is a must-start every weekend and he will bounce back against the Patriots.
The Patriots are like a box of chocolates in that you never know what you are going to get. In their eight games this season the Patriots have had the games leading QB, RB and WR just eight times out of a possible 24. Five of the eight came in the SF and Den wins. Injuries have certainly been a big part of the reason as the Patriots have had a ton of them. This week they’re at home against a Bills team that is searching for answers. Week in and week out it’s becoming more and more difficult to recommend Patriots as potential Fantasy stars. This week is no different as the Bills rank 12th against the run and 15th against the pass. We expect a low scoring game here so you need to temper your expectations of the Patriots. QB Matt Cassel has been dismal since his big game in Week 7 and can’t be trusted in this one. The running back situation in New England is still a mess. Last week RB’s Benjarvus Green-Ellis and Kevin Faulk were both in on 33 snaps and they both tallied about the same fantasy points at 11 and 9 points respectively. Green-Ellis will get goal line carries while Faulk catches more balls and you can expect more of the same this weekend. If we had to choose one over the other, we would start Faulk.
It should be noted that both Sammy Morris and LaMont Jordan are getting very close to returning to the lineup and that will make this murky situation even more clouded. WR Randy Moss has been limited in practice again this week but he was last week as well. He ended up playing on each of the Pats 68 offensive snaps and should this weekend as well. It’s hard to sit a guy who’s a TD threat on ever snap so start him and hope for the best. It should be noted that all four of his TD catches have come at home. The same can’t be said for Wes Welker who has scored double-digit Fantasy points just once this season and even that was just 12 points. If you play in a PPR league then you start him, if you don’t you should look at other options for your WR2. The TE spot in New England hasn’t produced at all this season and we don’t see that changing anytime soon.
RAMS (2-6) @ JETS (5-3)
The Jets beat the Bills while the Cardinals in Week Nine crushed the Rams.
Even with an up and down season, the Jets at home are a huge mismatch for the Rams. The Jets have been stellar at stopping the run and the Rams are plucking guys off the street to run the ball. RB Steven Jackson is doubtful for this game and even if he does play he can’t be trusted. The Jets run defense will make the Rams one-dimensional and that dimension is not a good one. It will be a long day for QB Marc Bulger and everyone else from the Rams. We recommend that you avoid starting anyone from St. Louis in this one.
The Jets on the other hand should have their way against a Rams team that has given up 24 touchdowns so far this season. Jets QB Brett Favre has been horrible in recent weeks and a turnover machine. Out of all the Jets, he is the one we would caution against starting as he faces the Rams CB Oshiomogho Atogwe who has four INT’s and is playing at a Pro Bowl level. We aren’t suggesting you sit him but the turnovers are scary. Start Jets RB Thomas Jones, WR’s Laveranues Coles and Jerricho Crothery with confidence and enjoy the points. This one should be over early and the Jets will still have a share of the AFC East lead.
PANTHERS (6-2) @ RAIDERS (2-6)
The Panthers were on their bye while the Raiders managed just 77 yards of total offense in getting shut out by the Falcons in Week 9.
Things go from bad to worse for the Raiders this weekend as the Panthers come to town rested and are looking to widen their lead in the NFC South over the Bucs. We won’t waste your time here, start your Panthers and sit your Raiders…. plain and simple. Hey, don’t we live in a society where family takes over the care of the elderly and their finances once they prove they can no longer do so on their own? When is someone going to step in and look after Al Davis?
COLTS (4-4) @ STEELERS (6-2)
The Colts hung on to beat the Patriots while the Steelers dominated the Redskins in Week Nine.
The Colts don’t have much time to enjoy their win over division rival New England as they roll into Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. This is not a good spot for the Colts. The Steelers are playing lights out on defense and rank #1 and #3 against the pass and run respectively. It will be a long day for the Colts. The O-Line for the Colts hasn’t allowed a sack in three games but the Steelers enter this one with league-leading 32. Constant pressure on QB Peyton Manning will force him to make mistakes and the Steelers will capitalize on them. This is not the Colts of old and we would suggest sitting all of them in this one.
The QB situation is somewhat clouded in Pittsburgh as Big Ben deals with his shoulder injury. It shouldn’t matter though as the Steelers will pound away at the Colts run defense with RB Willie Parker all day. Expect a huge game form him and RB Mewelde Moore is a decent flex option in this one as well. The Colts are stingy against the pass so we suggest looking elsewhere for your starting QB and WR this week.
CHIEFS (1-7) @ CHARGERS ((3-5)
The Chiefs lost in OT to the Bucs and the Chargers were on their bye in Week Nine.
The Chargers push for a playoff spot in the weak AFC West begins this weekend as they welcome the Chiefs who have to be very deflated after their tough OT loss last weekend. Those of you with LT2 will finally get rewarded for your patience this weekend as he feasts on the Chiefs and will be this week’s top point producing RB. In fact, make sure you start any Chargers player you may own and reap the rewards, as this game will exceed 60 in points scored.
How much the OT loss affects the Chiefs is anyone’s guess but the Chargers have been horrible on defense all season. That could change with Ron Rivera at the helm but the Chiefs will score some in this game. RB Jamaal Charles gets the start in this one for the Chiefs and is a sneaky RB2, as he looked strong against the stout Bucs run defense last weekend. The Chargers still rank dead last in pass defense and the Chiefs have nothing to loss so look for them to air it out. QB Tyler Thigpen should face a heavy pass rush and will look for TE Tony Gonzalez when he feels the heat. We like Gonzo in this one. Thigpen is a sneaky start at QB if your options are limited and WR Dwayne Bowe is a receiving machine and should be started in all formats.
Stats Sleeper
At 6′ 2″ WR Mark Bradley has emerged over the past two weeks as another receiving option for the Chiefs and last weekend he threw a pass for a touchdown. The Chiefs will let it all hang out for this divisional match up so Bradley is worth a flier as a WR3 or flex position starter.
GIANTS (7-1) @ EAGLES (5-3)
The Giants crushed the Cowboys while the Eagles had an easy time with the Seahawks in Week Nine.
This is a huge divisional game and should be a battle of the defenses on Sunday Night Football. The Giants take control of the division with a win while the Eagles can get to within a game of first if they win. The Giants rank #2 and #7 against the pass and run while the Eagles are #8 in both categories. In what will be a low scoring affair, the team that makes the least mistakes and protects their QB better will win.
The running backs will be the focal point for both of these teams in this one. RB Brian Westbrook and RB Brandon Jacobs will both post decent stat lines with the advantage going to Westbrook. Both QB’s will face heavy pressure and we don’t trust QB Eli Manning or QB Donavan McNabb in this one. There will be limited chances for the wide receivers in this game but we give a slight edge to DeSean Jackson over Plaxico Burress. All that being said, don’t expect a big Fantasy week from anyone in this game as one of the kickers could post the best stat line over everyone.
49ers (2-6) @ CARDINALS (5-3)
The Cardinals crushed the Rams while the 49ers were on their bye in Week Nine.
The Cardinals are clicking on all cylinders right now and are very tough at home. The 49ers are just plain horrible. How this game ended up as the MNF game is anyone’s guess. There are some great divisional match ups this weekend but, unfortunately, this isn’t one of them! This is another one that we won’t waste your time on. Start your Cardinals and sit your 49ers…. plain and simple!
That’s it for Week Ten. As always, we hope your week is injury free and point prosperous!
Enjoy The Games!
StatsGuru

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