Our Week 10 NFL projections were impressively accurate, so let’s review our results before moving on to our Week Eleven NFL projections.
BRONCOS 34 @ BROWNS 30
For the second week in a row the Browns gave up a forth quarter lead and in doing so made Jay Cutler look like John Elway. We reserved judgment on QB Brady Quinn, but he went out and had a monster day. However, before you start measuring him for a yellow jacket, remember that he did it against the Broncos defense that you and I could pass against. It was still a very impressive debut, on a big stage and in front of a nation wide audience. Quinn showed great mobility, a strong arm and good decision-making. When the match up is right, Quinn will be a serviceable low end QB1 in the coming weeks. As suggested RB Jamal Lewis had a big game with 84 total yards and 1 TD.
Last week we suggested that TE Kellen Winslow was back and out to prove something. Hopefully you remembered that and started him as he had 10 catches for 111 yards and 2 TD. We suggested that you wait on starting Denver RB Ryan Torain and if you did, it’s too late now as he’s been lost for the season with a torn ACL. This is a tough break for Torain owners as he posted 68 yards and a TD in the first half. As predicted Culter and WR Brandon Marshall both bounced back in a big. Culter passed for 447 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT and Marshall had 89 yards and 1 TD.
Stats Sleeper
TE Tony Scheffler caught four passes for 92 yards.
SAINTS 20 @ FALCONS 34
We suggested fire works in this one and that was certainly the case as the Saints and Flacons combined for 54 points and 882 total yards. We suggested the Saints would get heavy doses of RB Michael Turner and they did as he had 27 carries for 96 yards and 1 TD. QB Matt Ryan had a big day and WR Roddy White bounced back after a quiet Week 9. It was the Falcons that built the lead in this one and forced the Saints away from their running game. RB Deuce McAllister had just five carries for 18 yards but he did catch two passes for 23 yards and 1 TD. As suggested it was bombs away for QB Drew Brees as he passed for a season high 422 yards and 2 TD but he also threw 3 INT. As predicted, Marques Colston returned to his marquee status as an elite NFL wide receiver with seven catches for 140 yards. Stats Sleeper, TE Billy Miller outplayed Fantasy Super Bust Jeremy Shockey again this week as he caught 5 passes for 65 yards
TITANS 21 @ BEARS 14
The Titans are still the leagues only undefeated team after they went into Soldier Field and battled to a hard fought, smash mouth football style victory. We told you points would be hard to come by and they were. The 35 that were scored were well earned points. The Bears stuffed the Titans running game (20 net yards) and they turned to QB Kerry Collins to not only manage but also win the game for them. Collins responded with 289 pass yards and 2 TD. We also recommended TE Bo Scaife and he was huge with 78 yards and a TD. WR Justin McCareins was held without a catch as WR Brandon Jones had eight catches for 82 yards. We didn’t expect much out of QB Rex Grossman and he was a pedestrian 173 with 1 TD and 1 INT. We suggested that you temper your expectations of RB Matt Forte. We are going to stop doing that as he reeled of 126 total yards and 1 TD. Forte has seen the “rookie wall” and ran right through it. TE Desmond Clark and WR Rashied Davis both had a very quiet week. Stats Sleeper, WR Justin Gage had four catches for 47 yards and 1 TD.
JAGUARS 38 @ LIONS 14
Things went from bad to worse for the hapless Lions as the Jaguars went into Detroit and pounded them. It seems impossible to go winless through 16 games but we honestly can’t see a spot that the Lions can actual win at the rest of the way. As suggested it was a monster game for RB Maurice Jone-Drew as he had 91 total yards and three touchdowns. All three of MoJo’s TD’s came in the second quarter and he was spelled, for the most part, by Fred Taylor in the second half. QB David Garrard had a decent 238 yard 2 TD day though WR Matt Jones was unusually quiet with just five catches for 68 yards. WR Jerry Porter, as suggested, kind of showed up for this one catching two passes for 33 yards and 1 TD. TE Marcedes Lewis had four catches for 64 yards. As predicted the Rudi Johnson experiment is over in Detroit and RB Kevin Smith has returned to his starting and featured back role. Smith was the most productive Lion in this one with 123 total yards and 1 TD. We told you to keep an eye on Stats Sleeper Jaguars WR Mike Walker and while he didn’t play this weekend, he should be back for Week Eleven.
RAVENS 41 @ TEXANS 13
The Ravens scored 41 points? Wow!! QB Joe Flacco, as suggested, had a solid day with 185 pass yards and two TD. Other than that we were off on the Ravens in this game. We said it’s a guessing game week in and week out as to who gets the most touches at RB for the Ravens. This weekend it was RB Willis McGahee who had 121 total yards and 2 TD. Ravens WR Derrick Mason played through a separated shoulder and had a modest three catch 41-yard game. TE Todd Heap went ballistic with 5 catches for 58 yards and 2 TD. If you saw that coming can you give me a call and suggest some lucky lotto numbers for me? The 17 (standard scoring system) points for Heap is more then his combined nine through his first eight games. As suggested QB Sage Rosenfel had a modest day and the Ravens doubled our suggested two INT’s with four? RB Steve Slaton had a predicted quiet day with just 24 total yards. WR Andre Johnson had seven catches for 66 yards and TE Owen Daniels was a bust with just one catch for 13 yards.
SEAHAWKS 19 @ DOLPHINS 21
If you followed or suggestion and put all your worldly possessions on the Dolphins, congratulations, you are now rich! It was easy for the Fins, as the Seahawks battled them to the end, but a win is a win. As suggested, the Seahawks posted modest to poor numbers across the board. QB Chad Pennington had another serviceable game here with 209 yards 1 TD and 1 INT. RB Ronnie Brown didn’t have a huge game but he did post 66 total yards and 1 TD. As suggested, WR Ted Ginn Jr. was the most productive receiver for the Dolphins with 67 yards and 1 TD. TE Anthony Fasano was a bust with just one catch for 17 yards. Stats Sleeper, RB Ricky Williams was huge with 126 total yards and 1 TD.
PACKERS 27 @ VIKINGS 28
Somehow we forgot to forecast any numbers for the Packers in this one, our apologies! As far as the Vikings go however, we were perfect. QB Gus Freotte had a modest day with 151 pass yards 2 TD and 1 INT. RB Adrian Peterson was huge and WR Bernard Berrian was the bust we predicted as he was held without a catch as the Vikings ran the ball 41 times. We said TE Visanthe Shiancoe was a low end TE2 in this one and he cooled off with just three catches for four yards.
BILLS 10 @ PATRIOTS 20
We suggested a low scoring affair here and it was with just 30 points scored in a game that was over before some of the other early games reached the forth quarter. We don’t understand why the Bills gave RB Marshawn Lynch just 14 touches in this one and he was a bust with just 46 total yards. QB Trent Edwards was pulled back on and didn’t even reach decent game status with just 120 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT. WR Lee Evans did not bounce back against the Patriots and now has back-to-back bust weeks. Patriots QB Matt Cassel had a modest 234 pass yards with no TD or INT. RB Benjarvus Green-Ellis was the better back over Kevin Faulk. WR Randy Moss had just 5 catches for 53 yards. For those of you who play in PPR leagues, WR Wes Welker had a nice game with 10 catches for 107 yards, As suggested, the TE spot in New England continues to be MIA.
RAMS 3 @ JETS 47
As forecasted the Rams were horrible in this one and was over early. Not a single Rams player produced more than five Fantasy points and three was the maximum if you don’t play in a PPR league. We cautioned that QB Brett Favre would have a modest day and while he avoided turnovers, he still had a pedestrian 167-pass yard 1 TD day. Jets RB Thomas Jones posted the stat line of the day with 140 total yards and three TD. TE Dustin Keller came out of nowhere and posted 107 receiving yards and 1 TD. The rest of the Jets were horrible.
PANTHERS 17 @ RAIDERS 6
The Panthers didn’t cruise to victory like we thought they would but they still didn’t have any problems with the Raiders and won by 11. Starting anyone other than Panthers RB DeAngelo Williams was a mistake though and owners of QB Jake Delhomme and WR Steve Smith must be steaming today. Delhomme managed just 77 pass yards with 1 TD and 4 INT while Smith had one catch for nine yards…. that’s ugly! The Raiders continue to be non-factors in Fantasy football. This was football at as ugly as it gets.
COLTS (4-4) @ STEELERS (6-2)
The Steelers appeared to be heading to the penthouse and the Colts to the outhouse before their match up on Sunday. After Sunday it looks like the other way around. The Colts were good, the Steelers were bad and we missed badly on this one. We were right in suggesting that you start RB Mewelde Moore as he had 105 total yards and 2 TD. We were also right on suggesting that you sit Big Ben who was horrible with 284 pass yards and 3 INT. Other than that, suggesting you sit your Colts was just plain bad advice…. sorry about that! The Colts have a sweet schedule the rest of the way so we won’t be suggesting you sit them again.
CHIEFS 19 @ CHARGERS 20
What has happened to that scoring juggernaut that was supposed to be the Chargers? The Chiefs gave them all they could handle and then some. We suggested starting all your Chargers and to expect big numbers. The big numbers didn’t exactly come but no one in their right mind would have sat their Chargers. QB Phillips posted a decent 316 yard 2 TD day put also threw 2 INT. RB LT2 was supposed to bust out in this one but managed just 107 total yards without scoring. WR Malcom Floyd led the Charger receivers with 76 yards and 1 TD. TE Antonio Gates was his usual steady self with 66 yards and 1 TD. We were better on forecasting the Chiefs in this one as QB Tyler Thigpen, TE Tony Gonzalez and WR Dwayne Bowe all had a big day as suggested. RB Jamaal Charles was a bust however and should move back to the bench now that Larry Johnson is past his suspensions. Stats Sleeper WR Mark Bradley was huge catching nine passes for 81 yards and 1 TD. The Chiefs have a pretty sweet schedule moving forward and will be Fantasy factors as we head in to the playoffs.
GIANTS 36 @ EAGLES 31
Match up two teams that have run and pass defenses that rank in the top eight and what do you get? 67 points?? Wow, we certainly didn’t see that coming. We suggested that the running backs would be the focal point for both of these teams in this one and they were for the Giants at least. RB Brandon Jacobs had a monster game with 126 yards and 2 TD. RB Brian Westbrook was a bust with just 58 total yards. Both QB’s posted better than expected numbers but all the wide receivers had a mediocre day in this one.
49ers 24 @ CARDINALS 29
Give the 49ers full marks for their effort in this one as a better play call (or execution of the one called) at the end of the game could have earned them a victory. This was a way better game than anyone thought it would be. In the end however, as predicted, the Cardinal starters were huge and the Niner’s starters were not.
Let’s keep it rolling as we preview Week Eleven. The bye weeks are finally over and we are back to a full slate of games the rest of the way. With the Fantasy playoffs looming on the horizon so you need to get on a roll stating this weekend! This is how we see it all shaking out during Week 11.
JETS (6-3) @ PATRIOTS (6-3)
We get a battle of the AFC East division leaders to kick off the week on Thursday Night Football in what should be a very entertaining game. The Jets routed the Rams while the Patriots made the Bills look ordinary in Week Ten.
The Jets are peaking at the perfect time and this is a statement game for them to prove they belong with the NFL elite. The Patriots rank 15th against the pass but have given up 14 touchdowns through the air. Their run defense meanwhile has been stingy allowing just four rushing touchdowns all year. The Jets will have to win this one with the pass so QB Brett Favre is a solid start in this one. RB Thomas Jones has been on fire as of late but we suggest that you temper your expectations of him in this. After a very quiet Week 10 for both Laveranues Coles and Jerricho Crothery one of them has to bust out in this game. We will give the nod to Crothery, but Coles will be decent as well. Jets TE Dustin Keller had a monster game last week but don’t expect another one like that anytime soon.
The Patriots continue to do just enough to win with everyone chipping in with modest numbers. This game will be tough on the Patriots running backs as the Jets have the #5 ranked rushing defense that has been a brick wall for opposing running backs. We suggest that you look elsewhere for your starting running backs this weekend. With the Jets shutting down the run, QB Matt Cassel will be forced to the air. The Jets rank 20th against the pass but we expect Cassel to post modest numbers as the jets will bring heavy pressure and add to their league ranked #2 sack total which stands at 31. Start WR Randy Moss and Wes Welker if you must, just don’t expect big totals from either of them.
BRONCOS (5-4) @ FALCONS (6-3)
The Broncos pulled of a miracle win in Cleveland while the Falcons flew past the Saints in Week Ten.
There will be a ton points scored in this one. The Falcons have become one of the most balanced offensive teams in the entire league. The Broncos can’t stop the run or pass so get your Falcons going in this one.
The Broncos are down to signing running backs off the street and are now a very one-dimensional team. How much RB Tatem Bell is going to help them is anyone’s guess but he does know the system in Denver and is worth a waiver flier. The one dimension the Broncos have is very explosive though and while the Falcons have played reasonably well on defense, they won’t be able to contain QB Jay Cutler and Co. The Falcons corners are both under six feet tall and neither of them will be able to cover WR Brandon Marshall who is 6′ 4″. WR Eddie Royal was the man last week; Marshall will get more attention from Cutler this weekend. The bottom line here is to expect some 70 points scored and a huge Fantasy day from everyone except for any Bronco running back.
LIONS (0-9) @ PANTHERS (7-2)
The Jaguars destroyed the Lions while the Panthers escaped the Black Hole with a win over the Raiders in Week Ten.
Other than DeAngelo Williams, the Panthers looked horrible in Oakland last weekend. They will look 100% better this weekend as the Lions come to town. QB Jake Delhomme Williams and WR Steve Smith will all have a big day here. Don’t let last weeks effort scare you away from these guys as the Raiders can actually play some defense, the Lions can’t. As for the Lions, while most match-ups are bad for them this one is even worse. The Panthers are 4th against the pass and that makes WR Calvin Johnson a risky start. He is the only option the Lions have but this is a tough spot for him. Add to that the QB questions in Detroit and the risk factor goes up even more. The Lions will have to throw and Megatron only needs one pass to do damage so you need to start him, just keep your expectations in check. The Panthers will be up early in this game and that will negate the Lions running attack making RB Kevin Smith nothing more than a RB3 this weekend. Bottom line…. start your Panthers!
EAGLES (5-4) @ BENGALS (1-8)
The Eagles lost a heart breaker to the Giants while the Bengals enjoyed their win of the season while on their bye in Week Ten.
At 5-4 the Eagles can’t afford too many more loses the rest of the way if they want to get back in the wild card hunt. They are not going to be in a very good mood after their Week 10 loss and will take their frustrations out on the Bengals. Cincinnati ranks 25th against the pass and QB Donavan McNabb will torch them early and often. That makes WR Kevin Curtis and DeSean Jackson both a high end WR2 this weekend. RB Brian Westbrook is not 100% healthy but will play and should be started in all formats. This is also a very good spot for the Eagles swarming DF/ST. As for the Bengals … move along, there’s nothing to see here.
SAINTS (4-5) @ CHIEFS (1-8)
The Falcons dominated the Saints while the Chiefs missed a two-point conversion and fell to the Chargers in Week Ten.
Despite having one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL, the Saints find themselves in last place in the NFC South and getting desperate for wins. Now they travel to Arrowhead to face a Chiefs team that always plays tough at home and is playing much better on offense. This is far from a lock win for the Saints. The Chiefs are last in run defense and 24th against the pass so you have to start all your Saints in what should be a shot out style game. The Chiefs have a grand total of SIX sacks so far this year. Can you imagine what Brees is going to do having all day to stand in the pocket and pick them apart? The Saints are hoping to have RB Reggie Bush back for this game but you need to confirm that he will play before penciling him in. If Bush can go, he is a high-end RB1 and that will drop the value of RB Deuce McAllister considerably. If Bush can’t go, Deuce is a good low-end RB1 in this one. The Chiefs have definitely become Fantasy relevant with the play of QB Tyler Thigpen. The Saints lost CB Mike McKenzie to a fractured kneecap and that makes an already bad defense even worse.
We expect that Thigpen will continue his good play and recommend him as a low-end QB1 this weekend. As always, WR Dwayne Bowe and TE Tony Gonzalez should both be in your lineup this weekend. With defenders trying to cover Bowe and Gonzalez, WR Mark Bradley has been left with room to roam. He makes an excellent flex starter in this one. RB Larry Johnson is back and well rested are missing the past several games due to suspensions. While the Chiefs pass more than they run these days, LJ is a good start against the Saints 27th ranked run defense that as allowed 14 TD’s. Expect a ton of points in this game from both teams on the scoreboard and from their Fantasy stars.
RAVENS (6-3) @ GIANTS (9-1)
The Ravens rolled the Texans while the Giants ran all over the Eagles in Week Ten.
The Ravens won their fourth straight game behind a punishing defense, a solid running game and steady play from QB Joe Flacco. It gets a lot more difficult for them this weekend as they head to the Meadowlands. As good as the Ravens have been, they haven’t been up against a defense like the Giants since weeks 4 and 5 against the Steelers and Titans which were both games they lost. The Giants defense will come with constant and heavy pressure on Flacco and his TD to INT ratio will probably be 1:4. It’s anyone’s guess as to who will get the bulk of the running plays for the Ravens so we suggest you just stay away from any Raven this weekend.
The Giants have been cruising but have not faced a defense like the Ravens yet this season. The Ravens have slipped some in pass defense but that’s only because teams abandon the run against them. The Giants however won’t abandon the run in this one and we expect another decent game from RB Brandon Jacobs who is like a human battering ram. QB Eli Manning and the Giants receiving core will have limited opportunities in this game but turnovers should give them a short field to work with. Expect modest numbers out of Manning and his receivers in this one. This is another good spot for emerging TE Kevin Boss, as Manning will need him as an outlet to the pressure of the Ravens defense.
VIKINGS (5-4) @ BUCCANEERS (6-3)
The Vikings came from behind to beat the Packers while the Bucs were on their bye in Week Ten. The Vikings find themselves tied for first in the NFC North while the Bucs are a game back of the Panthers in the NFC South.
The Bucs are one of the toughest teams to play against at home and we are expecting modest numbers from the Vikings here. QB Gus Frerotte continues to match TD passes with interceptions and we suggest the INT’s will outnumber the TD’s this weekend. RB Adrian Peterson busted out for a huge game against the Packers but the Bucs have given up just one rushing TD on the season. Everyone runs on the Packers and no one runs on the Bucs so temper your expectations of AP this weekend. After posting double-digit points in his last four games, WR Bernard Berrian crashed back to earth and was held without a catch in Week 10. He is still the main target for Frerotte though so expect a modest; bounce back game from him this weekend.
The Bucs are trying to keep pace with the Panthers and they both have fairly easy schedules down the road. The Panthers will roll the Lions this weekend so this is a must win game for the Bucs. That being said, the Bucs leading point producer could be their DF/ST this weekend. RB Earnest Graham is questionable for this game with a knee injury but even if he plays you can’t expect much from him against the Vikings stout run defense. There is nothing special about Jeff Garcia or his receiving core so we suggest you look elsewhere for both your QB and WR’s this weekend.
Stats Sleeper
RB Cadillac Williams is expected to roll out of the garage this weekend and may have to start. It’s not a good match up for him, but he is worth a flier if you are desperate at the running back position.
RAIDERS (2-7) @ DOLPHINS (5-4)
The Dolphins survived against the Seahawks while the Raiders battled hard but ended up losing to the Panthers in Week Ten.
The Dolphins have run off three wins in a row and, with a win here, would move into a second place tie and be one game back in the AFC East. As hard as it is to imagine this is the second week in a row that the Dolphins are a lock to win. The Raiders are traveling from West to East for a morning game and not one team has won making that trip this season. It won’t be a walk for the Dolphins but they will win this game. The Raiders have been horrible on offense but decent on defense so be careful whom you start in this game. The easiest way to beat the Raiders is to run, run and then run some more. Expect a big game from RB Ronnie Brown in this one as the Raiders give up an average of 158.1 yards a game. RB Ricky Williams is a good flex option in this one as well. We hesitate against recommending QB Chad Pennington and his receiving options here because the Raiders rank 13th against the run. As far as the Raiders go … forget about ‘em!
BEARS (5-4) @ PACKERS (4-5)
The Bears struggled but beat the Lions while the Packers let one get away late against the Vikings in Week Ten.
This is another huge divisional game this weekend and should be very entertaining as well. The Bears are looking to go two up on the Pack while the Packers are looking to draw even with the Bears and Vikings. The Bears will want to run all day on the Packers as they rank 3rd against the pass but just 28th against the run. Start RB Matt Forte and enjoy. No one else from the Bears can be trusted in this game. The Packers will want to attack through the air as the Bears rank 30th against the pass and 4th against the run. Expect a big day from QB Aaron Rodgers and WR Greg Jennings. WR Donald Driver has done most of the damage the last couple weeks for the Packers, but it will be Jennings this weekend. RB Ryan Grant has started to crank it up and will be good as the snow starts to fly but we suggest you reserve him this weekend.
Stats Sleeper
TE Donald Lee is in a good spot this weekend as the Packers should go to a 2:1 pass versus run ratio against the Bears.
TEXANS (3-6) @ COLTS (5-4)
The Ravens crushed the Texans while the Colts gutted out an impressive win in Pittsburgh in Week Ten.
This is a battle of two teams passing like ships in the night. Since their three cupcake wins against inferior talent the Texans have dropped two straight while the Colts have had impressive wins over the Patriots and Steelers. The Colts will dominate this game from start to finish as they continue their push for a wildcard spot. They are close to 100% healthy and QB Peyton Manning, RB Joseph Addia, WR Reggie Wayne and TE Dallas Clark are all in line for a huge game in this one. The Texans have given up 29 touchdowns and the Colts should push that total to 34. You can also use Anthony Gonzalez as a flex position this weekend. The Texans will need to air it out in this one, as they will be down early. That’s a good thing for QB Sage Rosenfel, WR Andre Johnson and TE Daniel Owens. Hopefully your league is lenient on INT’s because Rosenfel’s will definitely throw at least two. Even though the match up looks good for RB Steve Slaton, we hesitate recommending him because the Texans will abandon the run early and Slaton has definitely hit the proverbial “rookie wall”.
Stat Sleeper
If the Colts pay too much attention to AJ and Owens, WR Kevin Walter will sneak behind the Colts defenders. He has been on a good game then bad game streak for the past seven weeks but he may buck that trend this weekend.
RAMS (2-7) @ 49ERS (2-7)
The Jets dismantled the Rams while the 49ers hung with the Cardinals but came up short in Week Ten.
If the Rams played the 49ers, would anyone care? Apart from gamblers and Fantasy Fanatics, we doubt it. This game isn’t even that attractive from a Fantasy standpoint. Rams RB Steven Jackson is questionable again this weekend and you can’t trust him until he shows that he is back at full health. Don’t give up on him because he does have some nice spots in the coming weeks: just be cautious when you consider him. The Rams passing game has been horrible the past couple of weeks, but do have a decent match up here against the 49ers, who have allowed 14 passing touchdowns. The Rams say they are committed to QB Marc Bulger but on the road, he is a very risky option. With the QB controversy in St. Louis, it’s also hard to trust Torry Holt and Donnie Avery and both should be considered as nothing more than a low end WR2.
The 49ers played with a lot of heart against the Cardinals in the national spotlight on Monday and one has to wonder how deflating the loss will be. RB Frank Gore was held out of practice on Wednesday with neck strain. That could have more to do with the 49ers resting Gore on a short week but you need to keep an eye on his status. If he plays he will be huge against the Rams and their 30th ranked run defense. The rams are equally bad against the pass but trusting your Fantasy week to QB Shaun Hill is a stretch at best. The 49ers receiving core is all messed up right now and can’t be trusted. TE Vernon Davis responded to his early shower in Week 9 with a spectacular TD catch against the Cards but it was his only catch and he should not be in your starting roster.
Stats Sleeper
The 49ers have ruled WR Josh Morgan out against the Rams. WR Jason Hill will get the start. Hill showed a lot of faith in him by passing to him on three consecutive plays to get the 49ers to the goal line late in the game on MNF. If you are short at the WR position, Hill is worth a flier against the Rams.
CARDINALS (6-3) @ SEAHAWKS (2-7)
The Cardinals got a scare from the lowly 49ers while the Seahawks hung close but lost to the Dolphins in Week Ten.
The Cardinals received a wake up call on MNF and you can expect them to come out firing on all cylinders against the lowly Seahawks. Despite the win, their performance against the 49ers was embarrassing. The weather forecast is for a beautiful day in Seattle and with the Seahawks ranked 31st against the pass expect Warner and company to come out with bombs away early and often. Warner, Boldin and Fitzgerald will all be huge as no one on the Seahawks can hang with either of them. After a big game on MNF, expect WR Steve Breaston to fall back to his WR3 role in this one. You should not have anyone starting from the Seahawks this weekend. QB Matt Hasselbeck is expected back for this weekend’s game but expect him to need at least a week to shake off the rust. There will be some value on the Seahawks roster in the coming weeks and we will update you when we see spots that fit. For this weekend however, you should sit your Seahawks.
TITANS (9-0) @ JAGUARS (4-5)
The Titans went into Soldier Field and beat the Bears while the Jaguars feasted on the Lions in Week 10.
The Jaguars finally got back to “chopping wood” in Week 10 and rolled to an easy victory. The Jags ran 33 times while passing 25 times. We have preached for weeks that they need this kind of balance to win and they finally did. It gets a lot tougher for them this weekend though as the Titans bring their 8th ranked rushing defense to town. We still say their only way to win this one is to pound the ball with Maurice Jones-Drew with some change of pace reps to Fred Taylor. We would start Jones-Drew as a RB2 without hesitation. We recommend staying away for QB David Garrard and his receiving core this weekend as the Titans have allowed just 5 TD passes this season.
The Titans proved they can pass when they want to and showed it against the Bears last weekend. Look for the Titans to go back to more running than passing this weekend. The Jaguars rank 20th against the run but have allowed just seven rushing TD’s. That being said, over the past four weeks the Jags have given up an average of 121 rush yards a game to inferior running backs. Both Chris Johnson and LenDale White are in a good spot here. QB Kerry Collins will slip back some as will his newest weapon WR Brandon Jones. Bo Scaife continues to be a good low end TE1 for the Titans.
CHARGERS (4-5) @ STEELERS (6-3)
The Chargers barely beat the Chiefs while the Steelers were stunned at home by the Colts in Week Ten.
This is a battle of two teams that are becoming more impossible to figure out with each passing week. The Steelers looked invincible against the Redskins and then very ordinary against the Colts. His injured shoulder is obviously hampering QB Big Ben as he has thrown eight INT in his last 2.5 games. If he is going to get back to his early season form he has a very good chance to do it against the Chargers who are last against the pass. Expect Big Ben to bounce back somewhat here; just don’t expect a monster game. The Steelers backfield is still in flux and you have to wait to game time each week before starting Willie Parker or Mewelde Moore. Moore has definitely been the better back of the two over the past few weeks so start Parker at your own risk. WR’s Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes are up and down on a weekly basis. We think it is Holmes turn this week. The Chargers were anything but impressive last week and will need to be much better to win against the Steelers. How the Bolts go about doing that is the big question. The Colts were able to pass on the Steelers last weekend so expect the Chargers to start there. QB Philip Rivers is having a lights out season and is tough to sit but you will need to temper your expectations of him. WR Vincent Jackson should be good here as will TE Antonio Gates. LT2 was set up for a monster game last week but, for the most part, was a bust. The King is losing his grip on the Kingdom and is not a sure thing to produce on any given weekend anymore. You have to start him, but expect a mediocre game out of him in this one.
COWBOYS (5-4) @ REDSKINS (6-3)
Both teams were on their bye last weekend. This is a rematch of their Week Four game that the Redskins won 26-24 and started the Cowboys recent skid.
The Redskins had a week to recover from their beat down at the hands of the Steelers on MNF in Week Nine. They are 2-2 over their last four games and have not looked impressive doing so. QB Jason Campbell needs to get back on track or it will be a long day for the Redskins. The Cowboys are hurting on defense and have given up 12 passing touchdowns. With RB Clinton Portis not 100% healthy so Campbell will air it out and we expect a decent game out of him. Check the status of Portis before starting him. WR Santana Moss had an extra week to get over his hamstring injury and was at full practice on Wednesday. In their Week 4 match up Moss had 145 yards but didn’t score. We expect a similar yards and a score from him this weekend. TE Chris Cooley has caught 14 passes in his last two games and that trend will continue against the Cowboys so start him with confidence.
The Cowboys get QB Tony Romo back for this game. If they weren’t so desperate for a win Romo would probably sit another week and, as it is, he will be playing with a splint on his pinkie finger. It shouldn’t have too much of an affect on him as we are sure it’s a top of the line splint. Start Romo with confidence. The Redskins will have to respect the Cowboys passing game in this one and that will open holes and space for RB Marion Barber and he should be started in all formats. You can also welcome back TE Jason Witten and get back to enjoying his stud production. Who gets more targets between Terrell Owens and Roy Williams is a tough call. We will give the edge to TO as Williams hasn’t had very many reps thus far and TO could go ballistic if he is ignored again this week. Expect this game to be one of the many shot outs this weekend.
BROWNS (3-6) @ BILLS (5-4)
The Browns were up big and let it slip away to the Broncos while the Patriots in Week Ten smothered the Bills.
Browns VS Bills on MNF? Well, I guess we expected a horrible game last week and it turned out to be somewhat entertaining so maybe we can hope for more of the same this Monday. The Browns have blown big leads the last two weeks and let a very productive first start by QB Brady Quinn slip away. This will be a somewhat more difficult match up for Quinn but we still suggest starting him as a high end QB2 in this one if you are stuck for a QB. RB Jamal Lewis had a cupcake match up against the Broncos last week and did not take full advantage of it. The Bills have been good against the run so expect Lewis to produce at an RB2 level. WR Baryon Edwards continues to drop balls on a regular basis and can no longer be trusted as a WR1. The Browns used a lot of underneath passing to protect Quinn in his first start. We expect more of the same so be sure to get TE Kellen Winslow active here.
The Bills have fallen on tough times offensively and have scored just 43 points in there last three games. Trent Edwards has cooled off considerably, but Culter torched the Browns last week and Edwards has a nice spot here. Don’t expect a huge game, but 20 Fantasy points wouldn’t be a reach here. The guy who really has to get it going for the Bills is RB Marshawn Lynch who has been nearly invisible for the past two weeks. Expect him to get back on track against the Browns 26th ranked rushing defense. In a game of getting back on track, you need to start WR Lee Evens, as he will return to his solid WR2 status.
That’s it for Week Eleven. As always, we hope your week is injury free and point prosperous!
Enjoy The Games!
StatsGuru

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